Granting Ukraine a map (NATO Membership Action Plan - ED.) will be the next logical step towards NATO membership, said Democratic Senator Chris Murphy. However, in order to name the date of granting the map to Ukraine, you need to get a roadmap from the North Atlantic alliance.
This opinion was expressed by political analyst Volodymyr Fesenko in a comment for iDemocracy.
I would not give an answer at all regarding the quantitative measurement – how many years we need to obtain the PDCH, and even more so to join NATO. It would be speculative and irresponsible to give specific forecasts. Because, unfortunately, it does not depend on us or even on the United States– he said.
Fesenko recalled the history of 2008, when NATO has promised both Ukraine and Georgia that they will join the alliance, but this has not yet happened.
Therefore, in order to make forecasts, you need to get a specification from NATO, as it is also called – a "road map" for the movement towards the map. When it is available, then it will be possible to evaluate it, but now there are simply no grounds and no factors or criteria that would make it possible to specify it clearly. I will give you a simple example: a well-known colleague of mine, who became ambassador to a respected country a few years ago, once, as an expert, gave a forecast back in the early 2000s when we would be in NATO. That is, he clearly named the date. And this was not confirmed, although a president came to power who wanted to join NATO, who tried to move in this direction, but the circumstances were completely different– the political scientist noted.
The expert also added that there are many factors that will act against granting Ukraine a map, and this is not only Russia with the war in the Donbas, but also the position of some European countries.
I even think that we will have to look for other alternative options, without refusing to cooperate with NATO. For example, the option of obtaining the status of a US ally outside of NATO is currently being discussed. Therefore, it is impossible to give a specific answer regarding the timing, but there will be movement in this direction, and it is inevitable– Volodymyr Fesenko summed up.